GC Elder Force Index Zero Cross (B10_03)
Volume-weighted momentum: the Elder Force Index crossing zero with price on the right side of the 50-period EMA.
Last validated: 2026-10-16 (baseline; weekly cadence starts after launch) · Validation status: Flagged — Single-timeframe; weak year 1 and negative last 3 months, but it is part of the GC Stack's best combined set.
1 full-size GC contract ($100 per $1). Test window 2024-09-23 to 2026-09-23 (2 years). Slippage 4 ticks per order, $2.50 commission per contract per side ($5 round trip); $100k account. 4-tick slippage per side = NQ $20, ES $50, GC $40 before commission.
Plain-English rules
- Market
- COMEX Gold (GC)
- Timeframe
- 30m — 30m only — 5m/15m/1h all negative
- Direction
- Long & short, up to 3 trades/day
- Style
- Momentum / volume
- Frequency
- about 101 trades a year
- In stacks
- GC Stack, All-Instrument Stack
- Force Index = 13-period average of price change × volume. Long when it crosses above zero and the close is above the EMA(50); short on the mirror.
- Shared GC day-session template: COMEX session 05:20–10:30 PT (08:20–13:30 ET); entries 05:25–09:30 PT, everything flat by 10:30 PT; long and short; ADX(14) ≥ 16 with DI agreeing and ATR ≥ $1; initial stop 1.5×ATR (clamped $2.50–$10.00), profit target at 1.5× the stop distance, trailing stop 2.2×ATR, no opposite-signal exit; up to 3 trades a day, one at a time.
Summary of the rules. The full parameter-level rules document is delivered to subscribers (documents only — no code).
Equity curve & drawdown
Year-by-year
| Period | Net | PF | Trades |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 (exits to 2025-08-31) | $2,390 | 1.06 | 96 |
| Year 2 (from 2025-09-01) | $43,920 | 1.79 | 106 |
95% of the 2-year profit came in year 2. Year 1 = exits 2024-09-23 to 2025-09-22; year 2 = exits 2025-09-23 to 2026-09-23 (saved trade list clipped to the window: 202 trades, +$46,310, PF 1.49; closed-trade DD $9,200). Per TV4REAL's NQ/GC stack files.
Recent form
Last 3 months (exits 2026-06-24 to 2026-09-23): 27 trades, −$4,145, PF 0.78.
Robustness
Robustness checks not run. Verdict recorded 'FRAGILE-SINGLE-TF (not benched)', later restored to bench.
Other timeframes
| Timeframe | Net | PF | Win % | Trades | Max DD | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5m / 15m / 1h | negative | — | — | — | — | all negative (exact values not recorded) |
Flags for this strategy
- FRAGILE (Tier B). Single timeframe: 30m only (5m, 15m and 1h all negative).
- Year 1 +$2,390 (PF 1.06) — barely positive; 95% of profit came in year 2.
- Last 3 months NEGATIVE: −$4,145 (PF 0.78).
- Shares 47 identical trades with Coral and 83 with KAMA (same GC template) — inside the GC Stack it adds +$18,635 over 149 taken trades on top of Coral.